Introduction | Objective | References | Agenda & Abstracts | Speakers | Contacts


NSF Caribbean Tsunami Workshop

March 30-31, 2004

Agenda & Abstracts

NOTE: The length of the talks will be 20 minutes to be followed by 5 minutes for questions. The hotel food package for all attendees includes a breakfast. Therefore, there are no coffee breaks during the morning. But there will be coffee breaks during the afternoons.
 
HOUR
SPEAKER
TITLE
March 30, 2004
08:00 - 08:45 AM Registration 
08:45 – 08:55 AM Greetings National Science Foundation, Puerto Rico State Emergency Management Agency, Department of Marine Sciences/University of Puerto Rico, Sea Grant
08:55 – 09:05 AM
Juan M. Pestana (10 min) NSF’s Geotechnical and Geohazards Systems Program Director
09:05 – 09:25 AM George Maul (20 min) Atlantic Tsunami Warnings Are Needed
OVERVIEW OF THE CAUSES OF THE TSUNAMI THREAT IN THE CARIBBEAN
09:25 – 09:50 AM William McCann (25 min) Large earthquakes, tectonic/geomorphic features and tsunami hazard: possible methods for estimating the potential of tsunamigenic earthquakes and earthquake induced - landslide tsunamis in the Caribbean
09:50 – 10:15 AM Haraldur Sigurdsson, Steven Carey and Doug Wilson. (25 min) Debris Avalanche Formation at Kick'em Jenny Submarine Volcano
10:15 – 10:40 AM Simon Young (25 min) Small scale edifice collapse and tsunami generation at eastern Caribbean volcanoes; a standard phase of the volcanic cycle
10:40 – 11:05 PM Uri ten Brink (25 min) and Eric Geist Tsunami hazard to Puerto Rico from retrograde slumping of the carbonate platform: Observations and models
THE TSUNAMI THREAT IN THE  CARIBBEAN: A REALITY CHECK (OR PALEOTSUNAMI STUDIES)
11:05 – 11:30 AM Juan C. Moya (25 min)  and Aurelio Mercado Geomorphologic and stratigraphic investigations on historic and pre-historic tsunami in Northwestern Puerto Rico: Implications for long term coastal evolution
11:30 – 11:55 AM Anja Scheffers and Dieter Kelletat (25 min)  New evidence and datings of paleo-tsunami events in the Caribbean
11:55 AM – 12:55 PM Lunch (1 hour)
RECENT CARIBBEAN STUDIES AND PROGRAMS
12:55 – 01:05 PM Aurelio Mercado (10 min) The Puerto Rico Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Program: A short review
01:05 – 01:30 PM Victor Huerfano and Carlos Mendoza (25 min) The Puerto Rico Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Program - Task 1: Tsunami flood mapping for Puerto Rico; Task 3: Local (Puerto Rico) and regional (Caribbean) seismic wave form analysis for rapid determination of earthquake source parameters
01:30 – 01:45 PM Christa von Hillebrandt (15 min) The Puerto Rico Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Program - Task 4: Emergent tsunami warning system for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands
01:45 – 02:10 PM Viacheslav Gusiakov (25 min) Atlantic/Caribbean Historical Tsunami Database and Tsunami Travel Time Software Package
02:10 – 02:35 PM Narcisse Zahibo (25 min) and Efim Pelinovsky The 1867 tsunami at the Virgin Islands: observations and  simulations
02:35 – 03:00 PM Roy Watlington (25 min) Potential devastation in the US Virgin Islands by a 1867-class tsunami
03:00 – 03:15 PM Coffee break (15 min)
NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL  PROGRAMS
03:15 – 03:40 PM Frank I. González, Eddie N. Bernard, Vasily V. Titov, Paul M. Whitmore, Charles S. McCreery (25 min) Progress on Real-time, Operational Tsunami Forecasting Tools for NOAA Tsunami Warning Centers
03:40 – 04:05 PM Cherri Pancake (25 min) Network for Earthquake Engineering Simulation (NEES) Program's Support for Tsunami Experimental Research
04:05 - 04:30 PM Harry Yeh (25 min) Integrated Tsunami Scenario Simulation
March 31, 2004
NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL  PROGRAMS (continuation)
08:00 - 08:25 AM Laura Kong (25 min) The UNESCO/IOC International Tsunami Information Center and its Role in the Caribbean
08:25 – 08:50 AM Charles McCreery (25 min) The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center and its potential role in the  Caribbean
TSUNAMI PHYSICS AND MODELING EFFORTS
08:50 – 09:15 AM Emile Okal and Costas Synolakis (25 min) Generation and propagation of tsunamis triggered byearthquakes and landslides: a theoretical and a simulation viewpoint
09:15 – 09:40 AM George Pararas-Carayannis (25 min) Assessment of Seismic and Volcanic Tsunami Generating Source Mechanisms in the Caribbean Region
09:40 – 10:05 AM Hermann Fritz (25 min) Physical modeling of landslide generated tsunami
10:05 – 10:30 AM José Borrero and Costas Synolakis (25 min) Advances in Tsunami Inundation Mapping in California
10:30 – 10:55 AM Patrick Lynett (25 min) Three-dimensional runup due to submerged and subaerial landslides
10:55 – 11:20 AM Harry Yeh (25 min) Tsunami forces in the runup zone 
11:20 – 11:45 M Philip L.F- Liu (25 min) Wave generation, runup and rundown from three-dimensional sliding masses
11:45 – 12:45 PM Lunch (1 hour)
12:45 – 01:10 PM Galen Gisler, Robert Weaver, Charles Mader and Michael Gittings (25 min) Two-Dimensional Simulations of Explosive Eruptions of Kick-em Jenny and other Submarine Volcanoes 
01:10 – 01:35 PM Ahmet Yalciner (25 min) Modeling of Tsunamis in Eastern Mediterranean and Comparison with Caribbean
ROUNDTABLE  DISCUSSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE FUTURE
01:35 – 04:30 PM Roundtable discussion and recommendations (with coffee break)

 
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