|
HOUR
|
SPEAKER
|
TITLE
|
| March
30, 2004 |
|
|
| 08:00
- 08:45 AM |
Registration |
|
| 08:45
– 08:55 AM |
Greetings |
National
Science Foundation, Puerto Rico State Emergency Management Agency, Department
of Marine Sciences/University of Puerto Rico, Sea Grant |
|
08:55 – 09:05 AM
|
Juan M. Pestana (10 min) |
NSF’s Geotechnical and Geohazards
Systems Program Director |
| 09:05
– 09:25 AM |
George
Maul (20 min) |
Atlantic
Tsunami Warnings Are Needed |
|
|
|
| OVERVIEW |
OF
THE CAUSES |
OF
THE TSUNAMI THREAT IN THE CARIBBEAN |
| 09:25
– 09:50 AM |
William
McCann (25 min) |
Large
earthquakes, tectonic/geomorphic features and tsunami hazard: possible
methods for estimating the potential of tsunamigenic earthquakes and earthquake
induced - landslide tsunamis in the Caribbean |
| 09:50
– 10:15 AM |
Haraldur
Sigurdsson, Steven Carey and Doug Wilson. (25 min) |
Debris
Avalanche Formation at Kick'em Jenny Submarine Volcano |
| 10:15
– 10:40 AM |
Simon
Young (25 min) |
Small
scale edifice collapse and tsunami generation at eastern Caribbean volcanoes;
a standard phase of the volcanic cycle |
| 10:40
– 11:05 PM |
Uri
ten Brink (25 min) and Eric Geist |
Tsunami
hazard to Puerto Rico from retrograde slumping of the carbonate platform:
Observations and models |
| THE
TSUNAMI |
THREAT
IN THE |
CARIBBEAN:
A REALITY CHECK (OR PALEOTSUNAMI STUDIES) |
| 11:05
– 11:30 AM |
Juan
C. Moya (25 min) and Aurelio Mercado |
Geomorphologic
and stratigraphic investigations on historic and pre-historic tsunami in
Northwestern Puerto Rico: Implications for long term coastal evolution |
| 11:30
– 11:55 AM |
Anja
Scheffers and Dieter Kelletat (25 min) |
New
evidence and datings of paleo-tsunami events in the Caribbean |
| 11:55
AM – 12:55 PM |
Lunch
(1 hour) |
|
| RECENT |
CARIBBEAN |
STUDIES
AND PROGRAMS |
| 12:55
– 01:05 PM |
Aurelio
Mercado (10 min) |
The
Puerto Rico Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Program: A short review |
| 01:05
– 01:30 PM |
Victor
Huerfano and Carlos Mendoza (25 min) |
The
Puerto Rico Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Program - Task 1: Tsunami flood
mapping for Puerto Rico; Task 3: Local (Puerto Rico) and regional (Caribbean)
seismic wave form analysis for rapid determination of earthquake source
parameters |
| 01:30
– 01:45 PM |
Christa
von Hillebrandt (15 min) |
The
Puerto Rico Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Program - Task 4: Emergent tsunami
warning system for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands |
| 01:45
– 02:10 PM |
Viacheslav
Gusiakov (25 min) |
Atlantic/Caribbean
Historical Tsunami Database and Tsunami Travel Time Software Package |
| 02:10
– 02:35 PM |
Narcisse
Zahibo (25 min) and Efim Pelinovsky |
The
1867 tsunami at the Virgin Islands: observations and simulations |
| 02:35
– 03:00 PM |
Roy
Watlington (25 min) |
Potential
devastation in the US Virgin Islands by a 1867-class tsunami |
| 03:00
– 03:15 PM |
Coffee
break (15 min) |
|
| NATIONAL
AND |
INTERNATIONAL |
PROGRAMS |
| 03:15
– 03:40 PM |
Frank
I. González, Eddie N. Bernard, Vasily V. Titov, Paul M. Whitmore,
Charles S. McCreery (25 min) |
Progress
on Real-time, Operational Tsunami Forecasting Tools for NOAA Tsunami Warning
Centers |
| 03:40
– 04:05 PM |
Cherri
Pancake (25 min) |
Network
for Earthquake Engineering Simulation (NEES) Program's Support for Tsunami
Experimental Research |
| 04:05
- 04:30 PM |
Harry
Yeh (25 min) |
Integrated
Tsunami Scenario Simulation |
| March
31, 2004 |
|
|
| NATIONAL
AND |
INTERNATIONAL |
PROGRAMS
(continuation) |
| 08:00
- 08:25 AM |
Laura
Kong (25 min) |
The
UNESCO/IOC International Tsunami Information Center and its Role in the
Caribbean |
| 08:25
– 08:50 AM |
Charles
McCreery (25 min) |
The
Pacific Tsunami Warning Center and its potential role in the Caribbean: |
| TSUNAMI |
PHYSICS
AND |
MODELING
EFFORTS |
| 08:50
– 09:15 AM |
Emile
Okal and Costas Synolakis (25 min) |
Generation
and propagation of tsunamis triggered byearthquakes and landslides: a theoretical
and a simulation viewpoint |
| 09:15
– 09:40 AM |
George
Pararas-Carayannis (25 min) |
Assessment
of Seismic and Volcanic Tsunami Generating Source Mechanisms in the Caribbean
Region |
| 09:40
– 10:05 AM |
Hermann
Fritz (25 min) |
Physical
modeling of landslide generated tsunami |
| 10:05
– 10:30 AM |
José
Borrero and Costas Synolakis (25 min) |
Advances
in Tsunami Inundation Mapping in California |
| 10:30
– 10:55 AM |
Patrick
Lynett (25 min) |
Three-dimensional
runup due to submerged and subaerial landslides |
| 10:55
– 11:20 AM |
Harry
Yeh (25 min) |
Tsunami
forces in the runup zone |
| 11:20
– 11:45 M |
Philip
L.F- Liu (25 min) |
Wave
generation, runup and rundown from three-dimensional sliding masses |
| 11:45
– 12:45 PM |
Lunch
(1 hour) |
|
| 12:45
– 01:10 PM |
Galen
Gisler, Robert Weaver, Charles Mader and Michael Gittings (25 min) |
Two-Dimensional
Simulations of Explosive Eruptions of Kick-em Jenny and other Submarine
Volcanoes |
| 01:10
– 01:35 PM |
Ahmet
Yalciner (25 min) |
Modeling
of Tsunamis in Eastern Mediterranean and Comparison with Caribbean |
| ROUNDTABLE |
DISCUSSION |
AND
RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE FUTURE |
| 01:35
– 04:30 PM |
Roundtable
discussion and recommendations (with coffee break) |
|